The Weekly Report


  • The first article updates FHN Financial’s rate projections for 5-yr and 10-yr UST on four different outcomes for Phase 1 of the US/China trade negotiations. They are remarkably similar after the last five weeks of trying to second guess the outcome. The grid forecasts rates for one week after a definitive market assessment of an outcome, including a postponement until 2020.
  • With two overnight repo crunch times on the calendar for December, an important update on what the Fed’s efforts have accomplished and what they’ve left undone.
  • Last, an important look back at financial market performance in November, which despite lower volumes than this week, set the themes for December and January.
  • The next scheduled publication date is December 20.
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